Cocoa futures extended their rally above $5,900 per tonne, a new high since January, amid persistent jitters over the upcoming West African cocoa crop. The market remained supported by expectations of lower production in top grower Ivory Coast during the 2026/27 season. Several producing regions are reporting fewer fruits than expected for this time of year, while the mid-crop and early development of the main crop are lagging previous seasons. Some analysts forecast output at 1.7-1.8 million metric tons, down from about 2.2 million in 2025/26, after heavy rainfall flooded plantations and disrupted harvesting and transport. Excessive moisture also can promote fungal diseases and pests during the critical cocoa pod formation and ripening stages. Heavy rains also hit Ghana. Another risk is the possibility of El Niño strengthening in the second half of the year, which could intensify the Harmattan, a hot, dry West African wind that re duces soil moisture and causes water stress in plants.
Cocoa rose to 6,055.75 USD/T on July 8, 2026, up 5.15% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 54.88%, but it is still 27.70% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Cocoa reached an all time high of 12906 in December of 2024. Cocoa - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July 8 of 2026.
Cocoa rose to 6,055.75 USD/T on July 8, 2026, up 5.15% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 54.88%, but it is still 27.70% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Cocoa is expected to trade at 5516.05 USD/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4786.30 in 12 months time.